What would happen to the Energy Sites for Ukraine and Russia

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Russia and Ukraine agreed Limited ceasefire To stop attacks on energy infrastructure, the first important step for escalation since the start of the full-scale war three years ago.

It was not immediately clear how and when the ceasefire would be partly. Wednesday, Ukraine and Russia The lack of trust between the two countries and how continuing of any agreement will be the accusations against each other’s energy infrastructure.

Strikes against energy facilities have been the main part of the efforts of each country to weaken the other. Russia has launched its war efforts to war efforts to violate the efforts of war as difficult as possible as possible. Ukraine’s strikes to Russian facilities are aimed at reducing Russian-slippery oil industry’s revenues used to finance the country’s servicemen.

Strategy behind the attacks

Russia began to attack Ukraine’s energy infrastructure in October 2022 has been announced that the initial plan to achieve a rapid victory. Moscow preferred the war of Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, which is the main goal.

Ukraine began He has repeatedly targeted Russia’s energy infrastructure At the beginning of 2024, try to take pain in the heart of the Russian economy – its oil and gas industry – and Limit fuel supply to his military. The purpose of Kiev’s goal, experts, experts, to reduce Russia’s oil revenues and to psychologically affect the psychological impact on large-scale fires in critical infrastructure facilities.

Russian attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure were the main part of Moscow’s efforts Bring the country to their knees. The goal, energy experts say that Ukraine’s economy is drowning from energy resources that burn their economy and eventually. But it is designed to make such an unbearable life for people – make them cold and dark – I violated their mood.

Ukrainian national electric operator Volodymyr Kudrytskyi, a former head of Ukraine, said that Russia has always changed their goals and tactics to defend Ukraine’s energy system.

Moscow used Complex waves of long-range drones and ballistic missiles Overcome Kiev’s weather protection. Russia has changed after Ukraine began strengthening major power plants with concrete bunkers Direct heat power plants and to attack Less protected substations related to nuclear power plants.

The impact on Russia

In the last year, Ukraine drones flew deep into Russia, To hit oil refineriesStations, storage units, pipelines and pumping stations. The attacks violated oil flows from Russian Seaport oil terminals and Druzhba pipeline, which are raw from raw to some European countries.

This threatened Moscow by upside down revenues from energy sales abroad. It was not possible to determine how much Russia’s oil revenues affect the attacks independently.

Attacks on oil refineries have reduced the country’s refining strength at a time, According to Reuterscalculating the effect of damage.

But the Russian Oil Giants He was able to to prevent damage quickly. According to the independent Russian energy analyst in Oslings, the damage to Russia’s oil refineries, “There was never a critical.”

Mr Krutixin said in a telephone interview, Russia could always go away from crude oil from the ruined oil processing plant. Sometimes processing plants, the more sulfur should began to start.

“This is bad for the environment, but the fighter jets can continue to fly,” Mr Krutikhin said. However, some parts of oil refineries can be harmed in the long-term period, which can take years to produce and install.

The management team, an energy specialist in Carnegie for international peace Sergei Vakulenko, said that there should be no more than $ 1 billion to correct the damage from Russian oil companies in Ukrainian attacks.

Impact on Ukraine

Since the autumn of 2022, Moscow, electricity, power plants have repeatedly used drones and missiles to inflict gas installations and gas installations.

This Kyiv Economic School Ukraine estimates that the damage to the energy sector has reached at least $ 14.6 billion. Several water electricity and thermal power plants were completely destroyed by attacks.

By the end of last year, Ukraine’s total electricity production capacity, 22 Gigavatt, which is less than half of its level. Dixi GroupUkrainian energy research organization.

Power deficiency forced Ukraine to apply Nationwide Rolling Tenses to lighten the tension in the grid. In some days, in the neighborhoods in the capital, Kiev, four hours of electricity was small. Many civilians appealed to the candles to ease houses and trusted in cell phone headlights to open the streets.

Water pump systems have sometimes failed, life has become difficult for citizens such as water flow to their homes. In the first winter of the war, long lines in the wells occurred in Kiev Residents pulled their water pots Return to their non-back-free apartments.

Again, Russia failed in the efforts of Ukraine completely collapse. Ukraine endured attacksMore Russian missiles, more Russian missiles by engineers, thanks to the air defense, which is constantly launched to correct engineers, vital equipment Residents Energy Saving Invention.

Ukraine also rely on three operating nuclear power plants to prevent a nuclear disaster in the same period to half of the country’s electricity needs.

Who is there to win?

Experts say that in the attacks targeting energy infrastructure, it is difficult to determine which country to stop the country.

Mr. Kudrytskyi said that a break will give an important time to repair s /pers and power plants without the threat of Ukraine’s new holiday.

The ceasefire will also increase the time to increase power plants from power plants from power plants to increase power plants from power plants to transfer power plants from power plants. Ukraine burned shares to replace damaged equipment.

The suspension in Ukraine attacks for the Kremlin means that the war and its influences are further away from the Russian community. Moscow does not need to worry that such attacks can damage the critical oil infrastructure.