What are the risks of the US-China trade war and can conflict be?

Fast fire volley of tariffs Between the US. and Chinese In recent days, the two largest economies of the world have increased global fears of the new trade war. Experts believe that the war is likely to increase, and the early shootings offer hope for a greater confrontation and other major problems.

Following Trump Administration, an additional 10% Levy in connection with the importance of China, Tuesday, China has announced 15% tariff In addition to 10% tariff for crude oil, agricultural machinery, agricultural machinery and some cars on February 10, it restries the export of vital mineral minerals used in high-tech products in February 10; Opened Antitrest Zone to Google; The list of two American companies to the list of “invalid institutions” – PVH Group, a PVH Group, which has a PVH GROUP and China’s offices in Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger.

Nevertheless, the US President Trump has chosen to hit the porcelain by a relatively modest tariff, as far as to 60%, 60%, as it has threatened to 60%. In turn, Beijing, the less vital growth targeted us by targeting the sector, opened the tubers by opening the parties.

“I think that (Mr. Trump) supported the greater Chinese tariffs for him, the opportunity to negotiate,” Former trading advisor for US export management and General Consultant in the center CBS Moneywatch for strategic and international research said. “Trade is forbidden, and they would mainly accept it as an economic war act. Therefore, I do not prevent future talks and still do not send a signal.”

So far, Wall Street Investors also consider step-by-step trade sanctions, what Mr. Trump, nor Chinese President Xi Jinping is eager to start a devastating economic war.

“This is now a rhetoric for everyone. This is the stage of negotiations,” the investment bank is a Bill Dendy, which is a financial strategy in Raymond James. “It’s like two brothers and they will start to blow, but they don’t want to hurt each other. It’s not good for anyone if miss.”

Julian Evans-Pritchard, head of the Chinese economy in Capital Economics, told investors that China’s revenge measures were clear to try to send a message “and local audiences”. ”

In order to prevent a completely commercial war, such efforts are used by Mr. Trump for a long time line against Mr. Trump, US employees and employees use an unfavorable number of unfair experience.

“The edge of a cliff”

Reinsch said that Mr. Trump and XI will be discussed for a possible agreement that can lead to the recalcissance of the liquidation or at least. “All this is moving the arm,” he said. “The goal, negotiations (Mr. Trump) is to force negotiations, and it is good in Brinkmachip. As she is with Canada and Mexico, it goes to the edge of the abyss, and then supported it.”

February 1, Mr. Trump, Canada and Mexico announced 25% of the tariffs. But the US Quick These tasks interrupted a month After the leaders of the country, they would increase the efforts of illegal drugs and migrants to the United States

Mexican President Claudia Sheenbaum, “Mexico and the United States agreed to immediately supply 10,000 Mexican soldiers on the border,” Trump wrote about social. Meanwhile, Canada Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said that Canada will invest $ 1.3 billion to better maintain the southern border.

“Trudeau and Sheenbaum realized that this was the way to play. Trump could say” Ok, I won “, and it happened,” he said.

This kind of dynamics will eventually work with China and will want to tilt them in the XI. After all, during Mr. Trump’s first term, he has repeatedly applied tariffs with China, and Beijing to get revenge every time. Some experts think that Trump officials have to have a great deal of difficulty to get the species of change to provide Mr. Trump.

“This is the fifth time Beijing retaliates to Beijing tariffs, instead of making the necessary reforms. Trump’s first time happened in the first four times and there are zero results. At a time, the President Trump must understand that the tariffs will not get what the tariffs want, “Ryan Young, a chief economist of the Competitive Institute, supporting the regulation, CBS Moneywatch said in a statement.

Risks for consumers

The risks of the growing trade war between the United States and China, including increased inflation.

“If we continue to fall below this road, it can be very harmful to the US consumer, because these tariffs are expenses that pay for tariffs, are no longer appropriated by industrial areas,” said Dendy.

If countries do not find a progress, “Americans can expect more technological goods, as well as clothes and other items,” he said.

On the contrary, the US prices are short-term if the conflict continues, is unlikely to be short. One for rising tariffs is likely to moisturize economic growth, inflation to spend consumers and enterprises. Reinsch also notes that many American companies importing goods from China are preparing for the prospect of higher expenses by building resources.

An area where US consumers can affect immediately – China fast fashion retailers have received cheap clothes from Shein and Temu. In the United States, new US tariffs eliminate a freedom for packages worth less than $ 800, that is, low-valued goods are already subject to balances.

The United States receives about 1 billion such carriages every year.

“If you are Temu and Shein, you will probably make a hit on two bases. They will have to pay the tariffs on clothes and shirts, so they will get a hit,” he said. These costs would be transferred to buyers. In addition, Mr. Trump asked to check them to screen for Fentanl, which can create low-valuable packages of US customs and border protection. “

In China, along with 25% of imports from Canada and Mexico, the Peterson International Economic Institute of Economics, which is now caught in China, it will cost a typical US family from Canada and Mexico.