(Bloomberg) – US consumer prices have probably grown in February at a pace that shows the protection of a saw on inflation of Federal Reserve officials. They may be satisfied to stay on the lilies to break a triumphant from the administration in politics.
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On Wednesday, the Bureau of Work Statistics will show that the consumer price index minus and energy increased by 0.3% based on the average assessment of the economists researched by Bloomberg. Meanwhile, in January, the increase in increasing increases in January 0.4% in January raises the increase in annual prices.
The so-called basic CPI probably rose by 3.2% from February last year. The data will be notified by Fed’s preferred gauge, which is not planned until March 18-19, the Policy Assembly. Interest settings. Now before that gathering, the goal of inflation will have 2%.
The last photo of prices is based on the February report, which showed the growth of a sustainable increase in salaries with the hints at the underlying cracks in the labor market. A wider economy also shows signs of softening, reflecting the costs, mood and household of more weak consumers at the beginning of the year.
President Donald Trump said the “Sunday futures” of Fox News collides “a transitional period”, which distracts the risks of the United States to the United States, as his early concentration causes market commitment.
On Wednesday, it is also planned to enter 25% steel and aluminum import tariffs on Sundays, US Secretary of State Howard Lutnik announces that he does not expect charges.
On Thursday, it is planned to have a similar long-term pressure to the wholesale costs. The manufacturer’s price index, except for food and fuel, is projected to rise by 3.5% in February.
What does Bloomberg economics say?
“Jerome Powell has said that Fed should see” real progress “of inflation or some weakness of the labor market in order to look at the adjustment pace again. In January, the transformation of prices in January remedies suspended disinfection, policy makers are looking for new progress in CPI in February. We expect only a modest improvement, as we remain effects of residual seasonality. We appreciate both title and basic CPI inflation increased by 0.3%. “
– He Wong, Stuart Paul, Eliza Vogh and Chris G. Collins, economists. Click here for complete analysis
Friday, a university of the University of Michigan, is planned to show a further decline in consumer mood. Merchants, as well as feeding officials, will pay special attention to the amount of expectations for inflation.
On Wednesday, the Bank of Canada will widely cut the rates with 25 more basic points if Trump’s cleaning tariff motivation on Canada’s product continues. Previously, many economists were named after the recent data showed that the economy jumped strong in the fourth quarter.
The governor is a difficult time for Tip McLem, which successfully fights inflation and put the country on a soft landing path only to withstand an ally of the trading war.
Other places from China inflation from Russia, the rise in the UK and the key speech of the President of the European Central Bank is highlighted.
Click here, what happened last week, and below is our package of our world economy.
Asia
The week was launched by China Inflation Report, which first discovered a low drop in zero for the first time in 13 months. When reading season, it is a reminder of a reminder of permanent prank pressure in the economy.
On Monday, investors will focus on Japan’s work value after nominal salaries in December rose in the fastest pace for about three decades. Japan will also release current account figures through more and more vague prospects during the day for the global flow of investments and trade.
Excess of the country’s current account in 2024 hit the record height, the weakness of the yen – the value of the return of foreign investment. The new trading war between the United States and China, the two largest trading partners in Japan depend on the prospect.
On Monday, the Pakistan State Bank will cut interest rates up to 11.5%, increase in inflation in seven years.
Japan will publish the gross domestic product assessments on Tuesday. A strong report can pave the way for further monetary policy.
Australia is released a private research for business, which will most likely show the impact on the basis of the country’s first rate in four years. Australia and Indonesia also report on consumer confidence data.
On Wednesday, South Korea’s unemployment rate will be carefully following the fall of January.
India’s consumer prices have probably slightly cooled in February, which can stimulate bets to facilitate further monetary policy. Japan is releasing the fourth quarter of economic and business, as well as the prices of the manufacturer, and New Zealand has card costs. Malaysia and India report industrial products.
Friday will see the Data Trading Data Price Price Prices for South Korea and New Zealand.
During the week, China is publishing loan data, as well as the numbers of direct investment, which will be closed, following that in January, the country registered the weakest investment.
Europe, Middle East, Africa
Business Business Business Documents Shop-Creates a Euro Zone for the Determination of the ECB to cut interest rates and to avoid a clear signal of its next step.
According to the schedule, President Kristine Lagarde, who will perform key to the major conference on the Eurozone’s monetary policy at the British conference in Frankfur. The calendar is also the chief economist Philippe Lane and the governors of the four largest economies in the region.
In the data of the region, the euro zone industrial production will give a signal on the year at the beginning of the year.
Before these numbers, the figures from Germany will reveal how Friedrich Merz will stay away from the February 23 election. He works on a fiscal package that can provide mass support to the industrial spine.
The Merdzi program also includes almost unlimited defense expenses, and an idea is to get Europe elsewhere. Polls on the weekend show that the policy of Trump administration is moving to Europe and Ukraine to increase military spending in the United Kingdom.
In Britain, January GDP data that will take place on Friday, a third monthly growth is shown, although very slowly than the spour seen by the end of last year.
At the same time, the high-ranking cabinet minister said that the United Kingdom would promote the number of civil servants and use the artificial intellect to promote the effectiveness of the government.
On Monday, Sweden will release its monthly GDP, and Riksbank officials will see the next day about legislators.
Norway and Denmark will publish inflation numbers during the week, as well as Poland. On Wednesday, the Polish Central Bank will most likely retain loan costs. At the same time, the National Bank of Serbia may extend its pause in the sixth month of monetary easily.
Turning south, Egypt’s inflation will make a sharp decline in February this year from 24% to 24% per month.
On Tuesday, the Minister of Finance of Ghana, Cassiel Ato Forson, will present the first budget of the Mayama administration, outlining the disease. He can also provide details on the negotiations of the International Monetary Fund for modifying the $ 3 billion program, which ends next year.
In South Africa, Yenok Godontgvana will present its budget on Wednesday in Cape Town, after a month, when postponing the coalition’s disagreement over the proposal of taxes. Investors will monitor how much he clings to fiscal unification when he keeps several options for increasing revenues and reducing costs.
Russia will present inflation figures in February on Wednesday, more than a week before its next interest rate. Bloomberg Economy sees annual prices annually, reaching 10% before the end of the year.
At the same time, in Israel, inflation is expected to increase a little to 3.7%, earlier one month. This report will take place on Friday.
Latin America
In Argentina, many monitoring research of the Central Bank, where inflation expectations are lower, and in Brazil, where they have been equalized after delayed.
Brazil’s February inflation report will most likely show about 60 base leaps, more than 5% of the prints of year by year, the highest compared to September 2023.
In the coming week, Brazil also reports industrial products, retail sales, budget and lending.
Before strong financial conditions. The Central Bank of Brazil gave the third exact March 19 rise to the third match on March 19. Still inflation and inflation and expectations will be completed in 2024, defensive.
In Peru, the Central Bank is likely to be quite close to drawing a line below its subsequent epidemic relief.
In February, inflation slowed down by 1.48%, less than 2% of the Central Bank’s 1% -3% target range, although politicians Julio Valarde could still hold 4.75%.
Industrial production, salary data, consumer confidence and sales of the same store tap in Mexico.
Argentina’s national inflation is all, but certainly in the 10th month, may have less than 70% less than 70% in April last year. Reading monthly reading can be cooled from January 2.2% Printing and local analysts Apply further disinfection.
– Greg Salivan, Laura Dillon Kane, Mark Evans, Piotr Skolimovsky, Robert Jameson, Swati Pandey and Berillic Akman.
(Rump about Trump on Trump in the fifth paragraph)
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