Trump’s Golden Dome is impossible – and this will make the defense companies a ton of money

The Pentagon is expected to deliver plans for “Gold dome“To long this week. In the most large sense, the Golden Dome is a missile defense system that will shoot nuts, rockets and drones that threaten the US from the sky. A scientific study published earlier this month describes the scientific impossibility of the scheme.

America tried to build a missile defense system from before Ronald Reagan was president. Reagan wanted to put satellites in space that would use lasers to blow Soviet nuts from the sky. What we built was a little more pedestrian. It probably won’t work either. But the defense contractors made a lot of money.

“When engineers have been under strong political pressure to deploy a system, the United States has repeatedly initiated expensive programs that are unable to cope with key technical challenges and are ultimately abandoned as their non -compliance becomes obvious,” A explained New study from the panel of the American Physical Society in Public Affairs.

We’ll do it again.

Trump signed an enforcement order on January 27, which called on the Pentagon to plan For the “iron dome for America”, which the president and others have called the “gold dome”. According to the EC, Trump wants a plan that will protect the homeland from “ballistic, hypersonic, advanced cruise missiles and other next-generation PEER, Near-Peer and Rogue Ridversories”.

The dream of the gold dome is simple: shoot rockets from the sky before they can cause any damage. “It is important not to think about the gold dome for the next meters of missile defense or only missile defense system, as this is a wider mission than this,” said Jonathan Money Producer, CEO of Bluehal, Golden Dome Ableen.

Moneymaker was clearly more like the challenges of building a gold dome. “Everyone views this as a replication of Israel’s iron dome, but we have to appreciate that Israel is the size of New Jersey,” he said.

Israel’s iron dome did a great job of shooting Hamas and Iranian missiles. It also covers a small territory and shooting on projectile that do not move as fast as a nuclear weapon or a Russian ballistic rocket KH-47M2 Kinzhal. The Golden Dome terrain is that it will keep the entire continental US safe. This is a huge amount of territory to cover and the system will need to identify, track and destroy nuclear weapons, drones and other high -speed items.

It’s like trying to shoot a bullet from the sky with a bullet. The anti -missile defense study, Posted on March 3They described in detail several of the challenges facing a potential gold dome system.

Trump’s executive order is unclear and covers many potential threats. “We focus on the main question of whether current and proposed systems are intended to protect the United States against nuclear armed (intercontinental ballistic missile), which are now effective or in the near future could be effective in preventing death and destruction, which will lead to a successful attack by North Korea,

Stopping NUK is the main promise of a rocket system. And if any of these systems cannot stop nuts, then what benefit is this?

The study is not positive. “This is the most comprehensive, independent scientific study of decades about the feasibility of national ballistic missile defense. Its discoveries can shock Americans who have not paid much attention to these programs,” Joseph Sininchin told Gimzodo.

Cirincione is the retired President of the Plowshares Fund and a former congressional employee. He is investigating missile defense and nuts for the Chamber of Armed Services Committee. “We have no chance of stopping a decisive attack with a ballistic rocket against the United States, although four decades of experience and over $ 400 billion spend. This is the mother of all scandals,” he said.

The study examined several different methods for killing the North Korean nucleus from the sky. ICBM launches have three phases: the gain phase that lasts only a few minutes, the middle course phase, which lasts about 20 minutes, and the terminal phase, which is smaller than a minute.

During the gain phase, the nuclear speed is picking up speed and entering the air. “The ICBMS phase capture, even on a small country like North Korea, is a challenge,” the study said.

You need to get a weapon near the rocket and in the case of North Korea, this will require you to build them near China and then launch them over Chinese territory. Each defensive system will only have a few moments to respond to the nuclear, as the gain phase lasts only a few minutes.

In order to face the number of this ICBM number in these restrictions over time, it will have to be built closely, probably somewhere in the Pacific. And we will need many of them. China would not enjoy a ring of missile defense systems close to its borders, no matter how America tried to sell it to them.

But what about space systems? This is a territory that rivals have less power. “The scientific review panel has found that it will take a thousand orbited weapons to oppose a North Korean ballistic rocket. Even then,” the system will be expensive and vulnerable to anti -satellite attacks, “Ciransion told Gizmodo. About 3600 interceptors to be accurate.

So we’re talking about ringing the planet in thousands of satellites armed with ammunition. And remember that it’s just to handle one nuts started from North Korea. Imagine that you have a similar protective shield to protect all the nuts in Russia and you will begin to see the size of the problem.

Well, what about the lasers? Reagan’s original plan was the lasers. Certainly technology has been progressing since the 1980s. “There is a broad agreement that laser weapons that could deactivate ICBMS during their phase, whether based on planes, drones or space platforms, will not be technically feasible within the 15-year horizon of this study,” the study said.

This hints at another of the problems of missile defense: it takes a lot of time to build and your enemies are not stagnant while it happens. While America is working on the Golden Dome, Russia, North Korea and China will build their own new and different types of weapons designed to surround it. We may be able to build lasers capable of shooting nuts from the sky after two decades, but until then, America’s enemies may have things to deal with lasers.

Well, the construction of nuclear removal systems in the amplification phase is a logistics and geopolitical nightmare. What about the middle course arc? Then there is more time to do something between 20 and 30 minutes. The bigger part of the current missile defense systems in America are designed to Hit an objectS

“The absence of air dragging during this phase means that the launch of debris, such as consumed upper stages, height control modules, debris for separation and debris from unburned fuel, insulation and other parts of the booster. The battle head from other sites in this “cloud of threat” so that it can head to the battle head. “

In the tests, the interceptors of the American course work only about half of the time. And these tests are performed under perfect conditions against some threats. “After carefully reviewing the technology and test records of the system (ground based), the report concludes that its unreliability and vulnerability to counteract seriously restricting its effectiveness,” the study said.

There is still the terminal phase that less than a second before Nucrere hit its target. And the United States also has systems, such as the final height of height (TAADD) designed to kill a rocket from the air during this decisive moment.

The truth is that if the kernel is so close, you may have already lost. “Even the effective protection of the phase terminal can protect only limited areas,” the study said. “In addition, terminal phase sensors are vulnerable to the dazzling effects of nuclear explosions in the atmosphere.”

These are just a few of the problems that researchers discussed in the 60 -page report. There are many more. And remember that this just talks about the removal of the North Korean volume. Things get more complicated when you add Russia, China or any of the other enemies of America.

For Cirincione, the report confirms his long -standing conviction that any type of complex missile defense system is not worth the cost of building it. “In short, we cannot protect the country against a decisive attack with a ballistic rocket now or at any time in the foreseeable future,” he said. “As long as we can capture short -distance rockets, such as those used in the Middle East or Ukraine, there is a zero likely to cross long -distance missiles that cover the oceans. We have spent over $ 400 billion from 1983. Future expenses will just throw money down into a hole in rats.”

The money manufacturer was scourge. “When a nation can be aligned with a goal, whether it is an interstellar wars or a gold dome or send someone to the moon, when you have a unity on a mission, many things can happen,” he said.

He also noted that the Golden Dome is a huge opportunity for destructive defense companies such as Anduril and, yes, Bluklo. He said the gold dome is a scale project that has never been seen so far. The construction of each proposed system will require cooperation between state and local employees, police, coast guards, FBI and DHS. “There are many ingredients in the game that have the next level integration that needs to happen.”

In the imagination of Moneymaker, the gold dome will not be just one system, but a huge patchwork of weapons that cover the United States. “Is this a dome? Or is it a series of federal domes that interact with each other? Just, just given the size and scale of the venture, we will see the phases of this development,” he said.

The Money manufacturer explained that high -value targets such as military bases or large metro areas can first be protected and then be woven together in “tapestry or tissue of protection”. He said the project was so great that the progress would be gradual. “The good news is that I think we can go fast as a nation when we need to or want.”

In Washington this week is talking about creating a all -new department Just to deal with the development of the gold dome. Booz Allen Hamilton has irritate on drones with a refrigerator size flying in 20 orbital planes about 200 miles in the air. The plan is those swarms associated with AI to identify rockets when they enter and insert into them.

This is just one of the many terrains that the Trump administration has received. According to DefenseThe Pentagon has received more than 360 plans related to the gold dome. “I fully expect the Trump administration to ignore this serious scientific board, just as they reject the scientific truth about the climate crisis, vaccines and the environment,” Cirincione said. “When there is money to make, science deviates aside.”