Can the Canadian EU connect to the US union of the United States?
Relations between Canada and the United States are under strict pressure, and it is impossible, there are some commentators who are not impossible.
What if Canada join the European Union?
Even if US President Donald Trump did not want to be “51st state” with the “51st state” with the “economic force”, a columnist, a columnist Economist, The idea was upset Teams of the country’s teams.
“As it comes out,” he said, “both Europe and Canada can be on the market for improved unions.”
In early January, the Pignal column, online excitement followed by a small whisk: a past spokesman for the Embassy in Paris confirmed the ideaAs it is A head of the UK’s EU movement. Even Former German Foreign Minister seemed to jump on the board.
“Joke, rant, real offer? It’s hard to say” Read a column In Montreal Daily La Presse. “(However) with the President of the United States with open hostility to Canada, the rapprochement with Europe will be far from meaning.”
But can it really be?
Join the EU?
Article 49 The European Union Agreement “To be a member of any European state, including the rights of human dignity, freedom, democracy, democracy, equality and human rights, and human rights, including human rights.”
It does not do, Europe is to appoint.
“He is a European country to make a political decision,” he said.
A country outside Europe has just tried to join once. In 1987 Moroccan Was rejected on the basis of the fact that there is no “European country”.
But Canada may be different. In his column, they rely on the views of the “Honorary Europeans” to the “Shared Values ​​of Canadians” – something Both government often underlined.
Canadians say that they are generally opposed to a strong state of welfare and a strong state of well-being as Europeans to support the control, death penalty and back markets.
Canadian political and legal entities are also modeled on European precedents and Identify more than half of Canadians Like Europe in the ancestor.
For both sides can be some perks to the nearest union. As Puligal offers, Canada can enter very rare parts of very rare strategic resources in the continent as rare land minerals and fossil fossils.
Meanwhile, Canada can benefit from access to the large and skilled labor market in Europe and reduces the dependence on the United States and its variable policy.
“Ottawa must prepare for a world where Washington is less reliable,” he said. “Strengthening a relationship with Europe … It is not just strategic, not important.”
Can it actually be?
Thus, it is legally possible and has some accommodations – but can it really be?
Don’t catch your breath.
“It will not happen,” said Steven Blockman, the European Studies Center in Brussels.
The European Union has already A long standby list: Some candidates waiting for ten years like Bosnia-Herzegovina.
“Think Optics,” he said. “If you have delayed the candidates … Could you really open it to these Eastern countries in Europe, to countries outside?”
A recent study Only 38 percent of the EU residents from the Martens Center wanted to become more members – and more than 80 percent said they should come from inside Europe.
As Europe added more members, it is also difficult to reach an agreement between those inside them. These decisions are made by consensus – with policies related to touch subjects such as security and immigration.
“There are difficult moments to keep him together,” he said. “Thus, it is not to expand – it’s already lined up – I do not see enough energy to achieve this goal or even see enough energy to start the process.”
More cooperation?
More than a full member for Canada, Zaiotti said that “cooperation is an advanced form”.
According to Michael Emerson, Michael Emerson in the center of European policies in Brussels, the “maximum deepening of relations on all accounts: the ambassador of an EU in the form of political, economic, cultural and security.”
Or EU may try to create all new alliances.
“One can imagine … without the US,” Emerson wrote in an email, “Emerson. “Then all democratic Europe, plus the rest of the OECD in the United States, developing a collective diplomatic position, can develop a collective diplomatic position that affirms the Modeled West.”
The EU has a bit of opportunity to create such connection now. Her The concept of “European Neighborhood” It allowed Armenia and Tunisia to enter the resource partnership, which was moving from typical trade agreements.
Some states such as Norway are a free trade block without members of the European Economic Area, EU members. Others are part of the Schengen Agreement, which allows the eurozone, which shared a visa-free travel or currency and central bank.
Canadian Horizon is already involved in EuropeAlong with non-other countries such as New Zealand, a research grant program funded by an EU with more than $ 140 billion.
“This is signed in a new chapter in our relations with the EU,” he said.
Politicians have touched upon the topics on a hurricane in Subsombers, EU and Labrador, but politicians will bring the most local benefits of international deals about things like hydrogen and minerals. CBC’s Peter Cowan explains.
EU President Ursula Von Der Leyen, meanwhile, did not create any words about the benefits of Europe. Canada “The only country in the Western hemisphere with all the raw materials required for the lithium batteries,” said Europe’s main strategic source as the green technology. “So I would say that this is a perfect match.”
In this way, at least, European leaders seem open to expand the definition of Europe – like blockmans, “European Union appears open to create a European Union instead of European onions.
“If there is any change in the EU, it is likely that the EU will be in the strategic partnership,” said Lavrelashvili, rather than seen as a geographically unlimited alliance.
You do not choose your friends
Of course, “Again it will be very difficult for Canada … will be very difficult to distinguish from America,” Garcia said.
His biggest trading partner cannot be replaced overnight – or can be easy without American support to defend the territory of Canada (or Europe).
“Europe is not a complete replacement for the United States,” said lavredvili.
Even if they want to replace Canadians.
Deputy Director of the Director of Jean Monnet Center Robert Finbow in Dalhousie, Canada’s provinces rarely agree with priorities as climatic or agricultural policy Not wanting to challenge Trump in a trade dispute.
Canadian enterprises, meanwhile, always relying on the “American) connection for profitability, and rarely alternative partners have taken enough serious.”
There is also a risk that any movement can provoke more American aggression to deepen relations with Europe.
“This would increase the feelings of EU antagonist and the enemy,” Arggroulis said. “Imagine the feelings of people who understand that people who are obsessed with border control, the European Union can share the borders.”
There is another problem. If Canada was looking at Europe to escape from the policy of Trump-Style, the wrong tree can be barking.
At the end of this month, there will be elections in Germany, a main member of the EU, Elon musk-approved Alternative (AFD) Party has been for Germany To act in surveys.
The Germans are only joined by voters Italian, Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Hungary, Finland, Poland, Norwegian, Netherlands and FrenchIn the last few years, the government in the government, Trump style politicians provide public support or basic power positions.
“Canada can no longer afford close relations with Europe,” said Lavrelashvili.
All, Canadians and some of Europe may have common values ​​- but in this new political period, Europe and Trump can share more values.
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