US economy’s decline is real: SBI flags GDP, trade, and investment slump in stark new report

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The Research Report of the New State Bank of India warned that the latest boom of the US economy could be an anomaly, refraining with unstable post-Soviet policy measures.

The report is “US economy that goes to (the UN) exclusive domination.”

According to SBI, the reptile of the US economy was probably farther, it was more far away, more than the structural strength. Long-term data indicate a stable decline in GDP growth, falling exports and weakening of consumption forms. “Post-Covid’s jump with the US economy can be more likely to be a more distributing policy extravagogé,” the report said that the productivity and value of the main factors are located.

Further increase in the alarms in the United States has dropped to its lowest level in 2011, while the debt-to-GDP ratio continues to climb its secular. The study also notes that this high salary, and for employees, keeps new investments. In December 2024, the employer’s expenses amounted to $ 31.47, and such spheres of production are fighting for long-term investments.

The report warns that without deep structural adjustments, including the recovery of the participation of the private sector and productivity. The US economy cannot soon recover its potential growth. Even if adjustments occur, SBI warns that they will include “short-term expenses” and are removed with “IFS and BUTS”.

Adding storm clouds to the 25% tariff of Donald Trump for steel and aluminum imports, which is valid from March 13, 2025, can further intensify US economic prospects. Although India provides a trade deficit with the United States in these products, SBI sees potential silver lining. India can capitalize to move trade flows.

Moreover, US markets seem to have lost steam. After receiving a massive profit, including a $ 52.9 trillion market hat for S & P 500, markets are now retreating. The report says: Even the giants, such as “Great Seven” shares, are often seen as bullets, start cracking cracks in economic uncertainty and geopolitical risks.

Atlanta Fed’s HDP is now the model reflects this slowdown, reducing its Q1 2025 growth rate -2.4%, earlier designed sharp rhythm. “US economic growth in Logarit has been in the last year,” SBI reports, citing GDP by 3.2%, from $ 2024 to 2.5%.

On a broader note, SBI reports that India is facing gaining from grief. Because the United States and developed economies are slowing down, the industrial diversified export database, the active persecution of free trade agreements and internal domestic consumption can help the capital and market share. The report emphasizes that India has signed 13 FTAs ​​in the last five years, including large partners in the UAE and Australia, and actively negotiate with new deals with the United Kingdom, Canada and the EU.

SBI notes that mutual tariffs from the United States are unlikely to Tenant India, assessing only 3-3.5% of exports.

It convenes that the SBI reports that the world is far from the world’s priority, increasing the debt, slowdown and commercial fights on the American future of America, and India, which allows the vacuum as a growing global business player.

 
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